How’s the Lakefront Market?

 

Can you say wow?! 

 

We have seen historic sales at the uber high end. In the last 30 days estates at $40,000,000 and $24,000,000 sold before getting a chance to hit the open market. The larger sale saw a 7 day escrow – amazing. There were multiple offers on a $37,000,000 property in Incline Village. There are other high-end listings which will trade this year. Currently, the highest price is Chase International’s listing for which I am a Listing Ambassador: Crystal Pointe, $75,000,000. The highest-price ever for a split lakefront is on the market now – $6.2m.

 

How about 4.5 (!) quick case studies to show you the strength of the North + West Shore lakefront marketplace?

  1. 1590 N Lake Blvd: Bought in 2009 for $2.5m. Attempted to sell for years since but never higher than $2.75m. It had cute furnishings and decor, my colleagues and I even had a team building exercise and cleaned up the “lawn” one spring. The property was dialed. But alas it never sold. Fast forward to 5/13/18: the property receives multiple offers in days and is now happily in escrow. This is a Chase International listing.
  2. 4886 North Lake Blvd: Fairly recently-built North Shore home – very large but no pier – attempted to sell for years but no reward. Fast forward to May 2018 and a buyer approached and it just closed for $3.725m.
  3. 3740 North Lake Blvd: Purchased for $5.2m in 2015 then placed back on market. Property marketed all of 2017 with no luck. Fast forward to May 2018, a local buyer’s agent approached the listing agent and now the property is in escrow. Chase International listing.
  4. 3840 North Lake Blvd: Was on MLS for 854 days. Just as the bank was about to step in and start taking the property back a buyer came in to scoop it up. Just closed for $3.42m. Last MLS list price $3.85m. Chase International listing.

Case Study 4.5 – No address nor price included to respect the privacy of the parties involved: I haven’t yet confirmed this (hence the 1/2 ranking on my Case Study numbering!) but I noticed a change of ownership on  a property which I had been watching. This one had also been listed for an extended time. It was under construction and it never really got momentum in the market. 

Another property at $11,000,000 entered escrow after just a few weeks on market but alas the deal fell apart – reach out if you’d like more info. That property sold 3 years ago for $7.75m and no real improvements were made. It has one of the most impressive boathouses in the entire Basin – it’s basically a barn large enough for two very large boats plus there is an indoor entertaining area.

Quick Stats:

  • 14 active lakefront listings from $1.1m to $40,000,000
  • 6 lakefronts in escrow: 3 on MLS, 3 off MLS
  • Sold Volume up 28%
Yet in the midst of this there are 2 lakefronts under $2m. As mentioned, a West Shore lakefront for $11m just fell out of escrow. So it’s still the kind of market where anything can happen which makes it exciting!
 
The Tahoe Regional Planning Agency finally revealed the draft of its new Shoreline Plan. See more below.
 
This is a great year for the Tahoe lakefront market. Sales are on par with the level of the lake itself – Tahoe is .2 inches from the legal maximum.
 

See all lakefronts for sale here

See Current TRPA Shoreline Plan Draft here

PDF to TRPA Shoreline Plan Executive Summary May 2018

See TRPA Shoreline Map here: This shows all Lakefront parcels and piers around the entire Lake

See Current Lake Tahoe Planning Benchmarks here

* Below the following charts you will find my 2017 Lakefront Market Recap *

2017 Recap: The lakefront market had a solid year in 2017. There were 27 sales which accounted for $135m in volume. The lowest sale of the year was $1.54m (off-market) and the high was $29m – see Drum Estate link. Interestingly there were no sales between $7.2m and the Drum sale. As a comparison, in 2016 there were deals at $8m, $11m, $15.8m and $17.5m. 

When comparing overall market performance to 2016 it is critical to include the $22m in sales that occurred off-MLS in 2016. In 2017 there were 2 off-MLS sales including one very notable North Shore property which closed for $7.2m – reach out to me for details.

As you’ll see on the chart below, the number of 2017 sales was well ahead of 2016 (27 vs. 21) and the volume was up about 8%. The incredibly high lake level made lakefront showings especially enticing and there were a good number of buyers who had been waiting a few years before pulling the trigger in 2017. This far in 2018 there has been one sale for $7.5m – it was a listing which had been getting long in the tooth and price was reduced multiple times to eventually realize a sale.

Activity at the highest-end is typically an indicator of good things for the entire lakefront market. The 2017 Drum Estate was the highest sale in our MLS’s records at the time. It was $10m+ more than the highest sale of 2016. It also nudged out a 2015 Chase international sale in Historic Old Brockway for $28.5m. In our MLS there are three listings above $20m currently, the highest of which is a legacy estate with acreage on Sunnyside Lane for $39.5m which had been available as a pocket listing for almost a year.

At the end of summer I wrote about the connection between Tahoe’s lake level and the strong market that existed concurrently. Read that post here.

 

Tahoe is barely below the maximum legal limit. See the USGS lake level chart here: link

5240 West Lake Blvd. 50% share listed and sold by Alex.

A quick recap of 2016: There were 5 fewer sales and 16% less volume than 2015 (please note that I take into account sales which are not reported in MLS – there were 3 in 2015). Half of the sales in 2016 were at homes which had piers. 2016 saw 3 sales over $10m. In 2015 there was only one – the Chase International sale for $28.5m. On the opposite end of the spectrum, 2016 had 2 sales under $2m; 2015 had none. I sold a 50% shared interest in a 7th-generation family cabin in Homewood. There was one bankruptcy sale in each of the last two years. In addition, there were some very interesting transactional incidents that occurred in 2016. I had direct contact with a number of them – feel free to reach out for more information.

Year Total Volume # Homes Sold Ave. Days on Market Ave. Price Median Price
2017* $132 27 145 $4.9m $3.8m
2016* $121m 21 182 $5.9m $4.8m
2015* $145m 26 170 $5.6m $4.2m
2014 $121m 30 163 $4m $3.1m
2013* $95.5m 23 203 $4m $3.5m
2012 $150m 32 338 $4.6m $3.2m

*Off-MLS sales:

2017: 2

2016: 3

2015 and 2013: 1

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“We are very happy with the deal, Alex. You made it happen and you are a hero.”

– Neil and Karen B. Sellers of 3266 Edgewater. Closed price $8,199,000.

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Tahoe Lakefronts are a market unto themselves. Selling them has traditionally been done in an old school way – take some nice photos, put them on MLS and tell buyers the same story over and over.

I have a different approach.

Selling Tahoe lakefronts well requires expertise, knowledge, attention and high-level marketing. I meet with top lakefront planners to know the maximum potential of every individual property. I target the most likely buyer pools and effectively reaches them with creative, quality marketing. I know off-market sales and tracks buyer activity across the board. I measure water depths at piers and buoys. During showings I don’t pitch buyers but rather make them feel comfortable. I learn what they are looking for and perform every showing differently.

The results speak for themselves. My sale of a Dollar Point home for $8.199m represents the highest dollar amount ever for a North Shore property under 5000′. My clients got 25% more than the lakefront MLS average price per square foot. See the website I created which was critical to this success: DollarPointLakefront.com.

In 2017 I was able to sell a 50% share of a 100 year-old cabin (represented buyer and seller). I also sold the former Le Petit Pier building which had been sitting idle and another broker unsuccessfully marketed it for over a year. I represented buyer and seller. In addition I entirely sold out a brand lakefront condo complex.

There are a multitude of things I do differently. I work with Chase International because of its track record, reputation and its incredibly powerful network. We annually sell over $1 Billion in real estate. Click here to see how Tahoe brokerages rank in the luxury marketplace.

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