Snow Problem

According to my favorite weather ‘geek’ we are going to see a change in the weather which should lead to more precip. Here’s a link to his page (I recommend joining the e-newsletter list; he only send when appropriate):

“The storm door is opening, folks. Now we just need to hope for snow and not just rain.

The high pressure that’s been blocking our storms all winter is pulling apart and opening a path to California and the Sierra for a series of storms moving in from the Pacific.

The first system is due late tonight into Tuesday, and it will be a warm one. Precipitation is likely to be focused just north of Tahoe with some showers possible  over the Basin. The dry air that’s present near the surface will limit the amount of precip that reaches the ground, and snow levels will be high. While they might initially be around 6000 or 7000 feet, that is likely to be brief, and they are forecast to rise to around 8000 feet as the storm moistens and warms the air. But there will be not be much moisture for us either way.

This one is tapping into a plume of sub-tropical moisture and could drop 1 to 2 inches of precipitation (measured in water-content) on the Sierra. With that warm moisture tap this storm will also see high snow levels, at least initially, probably between 7000 and 8000 feet.

But those should drop as the cold front swings through on Thursday,  hopefully to below 7000 feet.  Snow-to-water ratios will be weak — below 10 to 1 — but even at that rate we should see 1 to 2 feet of snow above 8000 feet, with smaller amounts below those elevations.

It looks like we will start drying out on Friday, but the weather will remain unsettled and we could see some snow into the weekend.

Stay tuned for more details.

Check for updates.

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